Healthcare operator – Expansion feasibility & debt model

Caplitica developed a funding and utilisation model for a healthcare group scaling across clinics. The model was used by lenders and internal teams for a $350m+ debt raise, location planning, and break-even forecasting.

I.

Context

A private equity firm was evaluating the acquisition of a diversified healthcare real estate portfolio, consisting of clinics with varying lease structures, operational expenses, and growth potential. The client required a detailed model to support debt financing, optimise asset management, and forecast break-even points for new and existing sites. Additionally, the model needed to provide clear outputs for investment committee reviews and decision-making. Existing models were fragmented and lacked the flexibility to handle multiple sites with differing operational metrics.

II.

What we delivered

  • Developed a comprehensive valuation model incorporating lease analysis, operational expenses, cap rate scenarios, and utilisation metrics.
  • Built a funding and utilisation model to support debt financing and potential equity contributions.
  • Created break-even forecasting tools to assess profitability across various locations and expansion scenarios.
  • Conducted strategic analysis to optimise asset management, identifying key value drivers and underperforming assets.
  • Delivered polished investment committee presentations, including visuals, scenario outputs, and comparative deal structures.
  • Provided ongoing valuation tools for monitoring performance and making strategic decisions post-acquisition.
III.

Outcome / impact

The model supported a successful $350m+ acquisition, providing a framework for ongoing asset management and break-even forecasting. The private equity firm used the tools to optimise their investment strategy, identify high-value sites, and enhance operational efficiency across the portfolio. The model continues to serve as a key decision-making tool for assessing expansion opportunities and refining revenue strategies.

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